Sydney Olympic vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1999 |
BRI
2 - 1
SYD
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
SYD
2 - 3
SFC
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 1
SYD
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
SYD
3 - 0
MEL
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1999 |
SYD
3 - 2
MAR
48%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRI
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1999 |
SFC
4 - 0
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
ADE
2 - 0
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 3
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |