Sydney Olympic vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BON
3 - 0
SYD
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 3
SUT
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
SYD
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BLA
3 - 3
SYD
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
SYD
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PAE
1 - 0
MAN
61%
20%
18%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAN
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
BLA
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
SYD
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
SYD
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |