Sydney Olympic vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
NZK
2 - 0
SYD
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
SYD
3 - 1
SFC
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 1
SYD
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
SYD
2 - 2
SOU
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SYD
7 - 3
CCO
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
GIF
1 - 1
PAP
28%
26%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2000 |
NCB
2 - 0
GIF
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
GIF
0 - 1
SOU
24%
26%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
SYD
0 - 1
GIF
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
GIF
1 - 2
CSC
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |