Sydney Olympic vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
SYD
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
SYD
5 - 0
CCO
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
SYD
4 - 1
SYD
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
SYD
2 - 1
BRI
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
SFC
0 - 2
SYD
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
NCB
1 - 2
GIF
48%
24%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
GIF
1 - 0
WAD
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 1
GIF
72%
16%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
GIF
1 - 0
ADE
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |