Sydney Olympic vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
PER
1 - 4
SYD
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 3
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 0
SYD
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
SYD
0 - 1
SYD
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
SYD
0 - 1
ADE
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
CCO
2 - 3
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCO
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 2
MEL
23%
22%
54%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
CCO
2 - 0
GIF
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
MEL
5 - 0
CCO
65%
20%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |