Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
8º
3º
21
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
11º
|
65% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24% | 8% |
|
Next round
|
54.5% | 29% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 2
MFC
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 3
SYD
27%
26%
48%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
SYD
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 11 | 64 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
SYD
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 1
SYD
13%
18%
69%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WES
4 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WES
3 - 4
ADE
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 1
WES
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
SYD
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WPH
0 - 2
WES
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |