Sydney FC vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 1
SYD
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
SYD
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CCM
2 - 2
SYD
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SYD
1 - 1
MEL
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SYD
2 - 0
GOL
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ADE
0 - 1
WPH
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
1 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 0
WPH
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
4 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CCM
1 - 0
WPH
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |