Sydney FC vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 0
SYD
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SYD
1 - 0
ADE
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 3
SYD
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SYD
4 - 0
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
3 - 1
SYD
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 1
WPH
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
WPH
2 - 1
PER
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 2
WPH
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 0
WPH
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |