Sydney FC vs North Queensland Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SYD
1 - 3
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GOL
1 - 0
SYD
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SYD
3 - 1
WPH
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SYD
2 - 1
BRI
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
ADE
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 5
CCM
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 0
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 2
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |