Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
12º
7º
13
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 3
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
SYD
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 1
WPH
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
SYD
4 - 2
WUF
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 0
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
WUF
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
ADE
3 - 1
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |