Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WPH
2 - 0
SYD
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
WPH
3 - 2
SYD
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SYD
3 - 2
NEW
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 2
ADE
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 2
BRO
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
NEW
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NEW
4 - 1
EDG
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
WBE
1 - 2
NEW
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 18 | 48 | 0 |