Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 1
GOL
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 1
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
SYD
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 1
CCM
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 1
WPH
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |