Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
3 - 1
SYD
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SYD
1 - 0
WPH
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ADE
2 - 0
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 2
SYD
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SYD
1 - 4
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
PER
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2009 |
ADE
2 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
WPH
3 - 0
NEW
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 2
CCM
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
4 - 2
MEL
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |