A-League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 1
SYD
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ADE
1 - 0
SYD
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
SYD
0 - 1
NZK
78%
16%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 2
SYD
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
SYD
1 - 0
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
4 - 0
MEL
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
PER
3 - 3
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 0
CCM
37%
29%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 2
SYD
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
3 - 2
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |