Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
WUF
0 - 1
SYD
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
SYD
22%
25%
54%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
WES
3 - 2
SYD
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CCM
2 - 2
SYD
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
MFC
3 - 1
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PER
2 - 1
MEL
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
MFC
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |