Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
SYD
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 1
WPH
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 2
SYD
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 1
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 5
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 3
NEW
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 2
MEL
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |