Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
BRI
2 - 0
SYD
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
SYD
0 - 0
BRI
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
SYD
2 - 2
MEL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BRI
0 - 0
SYD
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2008 |
WPH
0 - 2
SYD
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 1
CHO
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
CDR
1 - 1
MEL
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
GAM
2 - 0
MEL
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 4
GAM
24%
22%
54%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
CHO
3 - 1
MEL
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |