Sydney FC vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 2
ADE
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
BRI
4 - 2
SYD
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 3
MEL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CCM
7 - 2
SYD
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 3
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 1
BRI
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
WES
2 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |