Sydney FC vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
SYD
2 - 2
ADE
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
SYD
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GOL
0 - 0
SYD
42%
28%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SYD
2 - 0
BRI
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
WPH
2 - 1
SYD
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 2
MEL
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PER
1 - 2
MEL
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 0
WPH
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CCM
3 - 1
MEL
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |