A-League Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Sydney FC vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
WES
1 - 2
SYD
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 2
SYD
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
4 - 1
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
SYD
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 2
WES
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 3
MCI
28%
26%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 1
MCI
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
4 - 1
WPH
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
2 - 1
MEL
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |