Sydney FC vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
BAB
0 - 3
SYD
21%
22%
57%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
SRD
0 - 8
SYD
2%
7%
91%
|
75 | 12 | 63 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
SYD
0 - 2
ARS
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SYD
0 - 3
LIV
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SYD
1 - 1
MEL
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
HAS
2 - 3
MCI
3%
7%
90%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 2
MCI
5%
11%
85%
|
73 | 35 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
MCI
2%
6%
92%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
OAK
0 - 10
MCI
2%
5%
93%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MCI
0 - 2
PER
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |