Sydney FC vs Melbourne City analysis


72	ELO	74
11.3%	Tilt	11.3%
793º	General ELO ranking	787º
2º	Country ELO ranking	1º
ELO win probability

53.4%

Sydney FC

25%

Draw

21.6%

Melbourne City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

53.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%

25%

Draw

0-0

1-1

11.8%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

25%

21.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sydney FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
23 Sep. 2014	SYD 1 - 3 SYD 6% 15% 79%	72	33	39	0
12 Aug. 2014	MCI 1 - 3 SYD 52% 23% 25%	70	74	4	+2
26 Jul. 2014	SYD 3 - 1 WHU 33% 26% 41%	70	82	12	0
22 Jul. 2014	SYD 0 - 4 NEW 29% 25% 46%	70	83	13	0
18 Apr. 2014	MEL 2 - 1 SYD 55% 23% 22%	71	74	3	-1

Matches

Melbourne City

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
07 Sep. 2014	MCI 1 - 1 CCM 51% 24% 26%	73	72	1	0
12 Aug. 2014	MCI 1 - 3 SYD 52% 23% 25%	74	70	4	-1