Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
8º
2º
21
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 42 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 41 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 40 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 37 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
64% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 4.5% |
|
Next round
|
56% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 53.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
SYD
3 - 0
PER
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
NEW
2 - 2
SYD
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
SYD
3 - 0
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 3
SYD
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SYD
3 - 4
WUF
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
BRI
1 - 3
CCM
23%
24%
52%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 1
MCI
44%
24%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 4
AFC
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 19 | 55 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
CCM
41%
25%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
CCM
0 - 4
ADE
51%
23%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |