Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
12º
7º
17
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
WES
1 - 4
SYD
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
48%
24%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 3
SYD
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
WUF
2 - 2
SYD
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
MEL
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
WUF
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PER
3 - 2
BRI
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
5 - 1
MCI
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |