Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 2
SYD
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 0
WUF
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
API
0 - 2
SYD
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 3
CCM
30%
23%
47%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
MCI
4 - 0
SYD
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
6%
13%
82%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 2
WES
30%
24%
47%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 5
BRI
7%
14%
79%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 3
BRI
42%
24%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |