Sydney FC vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 1
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 2
SYD
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 1
SYD
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SYD
7 - 1
WPH
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 1
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ADE
2 - 4
WES
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
CCM
3 - 1
ADE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
ADE
40%
29%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
ADE
3 - 2
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |