Sydney CBD vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.4%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
85.7%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.9%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney CBD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
WWF
4 - 1
CBD
67%
17%
16%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CBD
2 - 1
SFC
45%
21%
33%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CBD
0 - 5
BFC
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BRI
4 - 0
BRI
88%
9%
3%
|
60 | 26 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
3 - 5
ADE
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 6
NEW
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 1
WPH
32%
25%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
MCI
4 - 1
BRI
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |