SWZ vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VVS
2 - 1
SWZ
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SWZ
0 - 1
EVV
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
KON
7 - 2
SWZ
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SWZ
3 - 0
HBS
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SWZ
0 - 1
LIE
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UNA
4 - 2
USV
68%
18%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
USV
0 - 3
VVS
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EVV
1 - 1
USV
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
USV
1 - 5
DET
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 1
USV
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |