SWZ vs HBS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SWZ
0 - 1
LIE
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAG
4 - 5
SWZ
50%
22%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SWZ
0 - 7
HSC
37%
23%
40%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OJC
1 - 1
SWZ
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SWZ
3 - 0
DET
30%
24%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HBS
3 - 1
AFC
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
JVC
1 - 0
HBS
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
HBS
1 - 2
UNA
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
HBS
4 - 1
FCO
26%
23%
52%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
USV
2 - 1
HBS
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |