SWZ vs Chabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LIE
1 - 0
SWZ
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ACH
6 - 0
SWZ
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SWZ
1 - 2
ADO
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 0
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SWZ
3 - 0
GEM
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Chabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 1
CHA
81%
14%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ADO
3 - 2
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
HOL
21%
24%
54%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GEM
1 - 2
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
JVC
26%
25%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |