Sporting Kansas City II vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Kansas City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
SPK
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
SPK
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SPK
4 - 2
NOT
24%
25%
52%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SPK
1 - 2
STL
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
HOU
0 - 1
SPK
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
TAC
3 - 2
MIN
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 6
TAC
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
HOU
1 - 0
TAC
47%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
TAC
4 - 1
COR
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 2
TAC
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |