Swit Nowy Dwor vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
HUR
4 - 1
SWI
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
LWA
2 - 0
SWI
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SWI
2 - 1
MKS
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
WLO
2 - 0
SWI
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
UWA
2 - 1
MVS
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SOK
0 - 0
UWA
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
UWA
1 - 1
LTM
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LOM
1 - 2
UWA
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
UWA
0 - 3
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |