Swit Nowy Dwor vs Sokół Ostróda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LTM
2 - 2
SWI
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
POL
2 - 2
SWI
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 1
LOM
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
SWI
4 - 1
PEL
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
WIK
2 - 4
SWI
8%
14%
78%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sokół Ostróda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SOK
0 - 1
MVS
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LTM
1 - 0
SOK
46%
25%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SOK
1 - 2
LOM
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
SOK
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SOK
2 - 1
PEL
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |