Swindon Town vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
COL
1 - 0
SWI
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 2
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 2
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 0
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
EXE
2 - 0
SWI
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
YOR
1 - 4
BRA
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 0
YOR
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 1
YOR
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BLY
0 - 1
YOR
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
YOR
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |