Swindon Town vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CRY
2 - 1
SWI
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
MKD
0 - 1
SWI
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 1
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
WYC
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
MAC
2 - 1
SWI
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
DER
3 - 1
WRE
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
WRE
1 - 3
STA
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
WRE
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
ROC
2 - 2
WRE
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
WRE
1 - 0
DAR
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |