EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-3
Swindon Town vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
SWI
2 - 0
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
HUR
0 - 0
SWI
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
SWI
0 - 2
CRY
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
OXF
2 - 0
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
SWI
0 - 4
IPS
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
WAT
1 - 0
BUR
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
BUR
4 - 1
WAT
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
WAT
0 - 0
BCF
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1997 |
WAT
0 - 2
CHE
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
WRE
3 - 1
WAT
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |