Swindon Town vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
STO
2 - 4
SWI
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
SWI
4 - 2
RUS
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
BPO
2 - 2
SWI
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
SWI
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
RUS
2 - 1
TRA
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 1
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
TRA
3 - 0
PLY
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
TRA
2 - 1
SWA
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
TRA
1 - 1
BPO
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |