Swindon Town vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
BOL
7 - 0
SWI
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
BAR
1 - 1
SWI
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
SWI
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1997 |
SWI
3 - 1
BIR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
MAC
3 - 0
SWI
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
STO
0 - 1
IPS
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1997 |
STO
3 - 1
GRI
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
TRA
0 - 0
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
STO
0 - 0
QPR
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 1
STO
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |