Swindon Town vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
SWI
0 - 2
IPS
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
NTT
3 - 0
SWI
73%
17%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
SWI
1 - 1
BIR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
SHE
2 - 1
SWI
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
SWI
4 - 1
OXF
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1997 |
STE
2 - 1
CAM
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
CAM
1 - 1
STE
59%
21%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1997 |
STE
5 - 0
CAR
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
CAR
0 - 0
STE
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 0
STE
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |