Swindon Town vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
TRA
2 - 1
SWI
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
EXE
1 - 2
SWI
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SWI
3 - 3
GUL
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
SWI
3 - 2
SHW
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 2
SWI
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
STO
0 - 3
SHW
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SHW
2 - 2
CHE
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
SWI
3 - 2
SHW
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 1
SHW
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
POS
1 - 1
SHW
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |