Swindon Town vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 2
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BCF
0 - 1
SWI
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 1
COL
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STF
0 - 1
SWI
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 1
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 1
BRE
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
STE
1 - 0
SCU
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 3
TRA
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 1
SCU
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |