Swindon Town vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 3
SOU
17%
21%
63%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STF
2 - 1
SWI
53%
25%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
BRI
0 - 1
SWI
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 2
OXF
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
DAG
1 - 0
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 0
GIL
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 2
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 2
ROT
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 4
ROT
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 4
LEI
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |