Swindon Town vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 3
WBA
77%
14%
8%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SWI
1 - 3
CHA
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 1
COV
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SWI
0 - 2
FOR
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 0
SCU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 2
ROC
21%
21%
57%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
HUR
0 - 1
ROC
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
ATH
1 - 4
ROC
12%
18%
71%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ROC
3 - 1
ROT
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
OPA
3 - 0
ROC
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |