Swindon Town vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
BOU
3 - 2
SWI
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 0
EXE
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 0
TRA
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BRO
3 - 1
SWI
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 1
YEO
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 1
ROC
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
YEO
0 - 1
ROC
34%
26%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 1
LEY
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
DAG
0 - 1
ROC
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |