EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-3
Swindon Town vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SWI
2 - 1
TRA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
SWI
0 - 1
OPA
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
GRI
2 - 1
SWI
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
WOL
1 - 0
SWI
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 3
SWI
33%
27%
41%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
BAR
1 - 3
QPR
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
NOR
1 - 1
QPR
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
QPR
0 - 2
WBA
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
QPR
1 - 2
BOL
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
WOL
1 - 1
QPR
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |