League Two Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Swindon Town vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 3
SWI
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 1
BAR
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 1
FOR
33%
26%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 3
SWI
32%
26%
41%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 2
LEY
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
EXE
0 - 1
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 0
POR
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
BRO
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |