Swindon Town vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BCF
2 - 2
SWI
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 2
EXE
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SWI
4 - 1
BRA
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 2
LIV
17%
22%
62%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
SWI
0 - 2
ASV
20%
23%
58%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
GIL
38%
26%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
BUR
21%
23%
57%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 0
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 2
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
BOL
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |