Swindon Town vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
SWI
0 - 1
STO
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 1
SWI
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SWI
0 - 1
CAR
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BPO
0 - 0
SWI
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 4
SWI
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
POR
1 - 0
POS
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
WIG
0 - 1
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
POR
0 - 1
STO
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 1
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
CAR
3 - 1
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |