Swindon Town vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
SWI
2 - 2
SHE
33%
25%
41%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 0
SWI
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
FUL
1 - 0
SWI
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
SWI
1 - 1
STO
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
SWI
0 - 4
BOL
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
WOL
2 - 2
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1999 |
POR
0 - 2
NTT
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
POR
0 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
HUR
2 - 2
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
MAC
2 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |