Swindon Town vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
SWI
3 - 2
BRI
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1998 |
BCF
3 - 0
SWI
59%
25%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 1
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
WOL
1 - 0
SWI
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
WYC
2 - 0
SWI
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
OXF
3 - 0
OPA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 0
OXF
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
OXF
0 - 0
GRI
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
CRY
2 - 0
OXF
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
OXF
1 - 3
LUT
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |